How the Trump vs. Harris Election Battle Is Shaking the Crypto Market
Political Winds Rock Crypto Markets
Like an amateur trader leveraging 100x on a shitcoin, the US presidential race has become crypto’s latest volatility catalyst. The Biden-Trump rematch already had investors on edge, but Harris’ sudden ascendancy as Democratic nominee turned uncertainty into full-blown turbulence.
The Data Doesn’t Lie:
- BTC dropped from \(62K to \)56K as Harris’ Polymarket odds surpassed Trump’s
- July’s Trump assassination attempt spike (BTC +19%) reversed when Harris gained polling leads
- $2B in government BTC transfers sparked selloff fears under potential Democratic policies
The Contenders’ Crypto Calculus
Trump: The Flip-Flopping Bitcoin Savior?
The former president once called Bitcoin “a scam,” but now sells NFT trading cards for ETH. His campaign:
- Promises to fire SEC Chair Gensler
- Vows to keep Treasury’s Bitcoin holdings
- Launched crypto payment options (MAGA sneakers paid in BTC, anyone?)
Yet my quant models question follow-through - this smells more like courting crypto donors than conviction.
Harris: Regulatory Wildcard
The VP-turned-nominee plays her cards closer to the vest:
- Skipped “Crypto4Harris” events despite Democratic outreach efforts —Staff includes former anti-crypto Biden advisors —Running mate Walz returned FTX-linked donations
My forensic analysis of her team composition suggests continued tough regulation - likely suppressing institutional inflows.
Trading the Political Chaos
The 30-day correlation between BTC and the S&P 500 has broken down completely (-0.17 as of August). This decoupling suggests:
- Macro traders pricing political risk premiums into crypto separately
- Retail FOMO cycles detached from traditional markets
- Whales using volatility to accumulate/liquidate positions
Pro Tip: Watch these key indicators: → Polymarket prediction probabilities (real-time sentiment) → Fed speeches referencing CBDCs (regulatory tells) → Coinbase lobbying disclosures (policy positioning)
As your friendly neighborhood crypto economist, I’ll be tracking this through November with Python scrapers and whiskey. The only certainty? More liquidations ahead.
ChainSight
Hot comment (11)
¿Bitcoin se vuelve loco con las elecciones?
Parece que el BTC está más indeciso que un turista eligiendo paella en La Boquería. Trump pasó de llamarlo ‘estafa’ a vender NFTs, y Harris ni aparece en los eventos crypto. ¡Hasta el S&P 500 se rindió de tanta volatilidad!
Datos que duelen más que un gol del Barça:
- BTC bajó $6K cuando Harris superó a Trump en encuestas
- El intento de asesinato a Trump hizo subir Bitcoin… ¿qué no hará por views este mercado?
Pro tip: Si van a tradear, mejor con whiskey en mano. ¡Que empiece el espectáculo político-crypto! ¿Ustedes en quién apuestan?
¡Bitcoin más volátil que las promesas de campaña!
Esto parece el trading de memecoins: Trump pasó de llamar al BTC ‘estafa’ a vender NFTs, mientras Harris ni aparece en los eventos crypto.
Mis gráficos muestran que:
- Cada tuit político mueve el precio más que un halving
- El mercado reacciona peor que yo cuando veo fees de Ethereum
- Los whales están jugando con nosotros como votantes indecisos
¿Suena familiar? ¡Es la política mezclada con cripto, amigos! 🎢
#DCAandPray #Elecciones2024
Халепа в крипто через вибори!
Трамп знову грає в «перевертня»: колись називав Bitcoin скамом, а тепер продає NFT за ETH. А от Гарріс – темна кінь: ні «за», ні «проти», але її команда виглядає як антикрипто-армія.
Що робити інвестору?
- Слідкуйте за Polymarket – там реальні ставки (і реальний троллінг).
- Не вірите політикам? Купуйте BTC і ховайте у холодний гаманець.
Як говориться, «ринок переживе все – навіть ці вибори». Ваші думки? 😏
La crypto dans tous ses états
Quand Trump et Harris jouent au ping-pong avec le marché crypto, même les whales perdent leurs lunettes ! Entre les NFT de l’un et les régulations fantômes de l’autre, le BTC danse la Macarena entre 56K et 62K.
Le grand cirque politique
- Trump qui traitait Bitcoin de “arnaque” vend maintenant des sneakers en BTC… Cherchez l’erreur !
- Harris plus mystérieuse qu’un whitepaper, avec son équipe anti-crypto qui fait trembler les mineurs.
Mon conseil de pro (avec un whisky) : Accrochez-vous à vos ledger, ce manège ne fait que commencer ! #CryptoCircus
ตลาดคริปโตสั่นสะเทือนไม่ใช่เล่น!
เห็นราคา BTC เด้งขึ้นลงเหมือนโยโย่แล้วปวดหัวแทนนักลงทุนเลยครับ ตอนทรัมป์โดนยิงขึ้น 19% พอแฮร์ริสขึ้นดันร่วงอีก!
สองคู่แข่งนโยบายสุดเดือด
- ทรัมป์: จากเคยบอก Bitcoin เป็น “การหลอกลวง” ตอนนี้ขาย NFT เอา ETH ซะเอง
- แฮร์ริส: ยากจะคาดการณ์ น่าจะควบคุมเข้มเหมือนเดิม
แนะนำให้จับตา Polymarket กับท่าที Fed ครับ ส่วนตัวผมเตรียมสคริปต์ Python กับวิสกี้รอเจอสภาพแล้ว 🤣
คิดยังไงกับความผันผวนครั้งนี้? คอมเมนต์ด้านล่างได้เลย!
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